The influence of new drinkers' peer groups on a mathematical model of alcoholism epidemics
รหัสดีโอไอ
Creator Kanyarat Noochum
Title The influence of new drinkers' peer groups on a mathematical model of alcoholism epidemics
Contributor Purinchaya Wisutsiri
Publisher Mahasarakham University
Publication Year 2569
Journal Title Journal of Science and Technology Mahasarakham University
Journal Vol. 45
Journal No. 4
Page no. 534-544
Keyword Mathematical model, alcoholism epidemic, equilibrium point, basic reproduction number
URL Website https://li01.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/scimsujournal
Website title Journal of Science and Technology Mahasarakham University
ISSN 1686-9664 (Print), 2586-9795(Online)
Abstract This research develops and analyzes a mathematical model for alcohol addiction transmission among new drinkers using standard methodology. The population is divided into five groups: susceptible individuals, new drinkers, heavy drinkers, those in treatment, and recovered individuals. The resulting model comprises nonlinear ordinary differential equations. Analysis includes equilibrium points, basic reproduction numbers (using next generation and spectral radius methods), and stability determination via Routh-Hurwitz criteria. Results indicate that an alcohol-free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable when R0 = 0.0879 < 1, while an alcohol-present equilibrium becomes stable when R0 = 1.1069 > 1. The findings suggest that reducing the rate of interaction with a group of drinkers will reduce the outbreak of alcohol addiction.
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