Nitrogen Saturation, Methane Emission Intensity, and ThermalTurning Points in Intensive Rice Cultivation in the VietnameseMekong Delta
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Creator Vo Nguyen Thien Phuc
Title Nitrogen Saturation, Methane Emission Intensity, and ThermalTurning Points in Intensive Rice Cultivation in the VietnameseMekong Delta
Contributor Tra Van Trung, Nguyen Tuong Chau
Publisher Thai Society of Higher Education Institutes on Environment
Publication Year 2569
Journal Title EnvironmentAsia
Journal Vol. 19
Journal No. 3
Page no. 179-189
Keyword Nitrogen saturation, Methane emission intensity, Entity fixed effects, Thermalturning point, Mekong Delta rice
URL Website http://www.tshe.org/ea/index.html
Website title EnvironmentAsia
ISSN 1906-1714
Abstract Intensive lowland rice cultivation in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD) confronts a persistenttension between yield maintenance and greenhouse gas accumulation. A province-levelpanel with entity fixed effects (1995–2022, 13 VMD provinces, up to 364 province-yearobservations) was constructed from General Statistics Office of Vietnam, Ministry of Agricultureand Rural Development, and IPCC Tier 1 was recorded to examine nitrogen–yield saturation,sub-regional methane (CH4) emission intensity, and a shared thermal turning point. Neither thelinear nor the quadratic term of inorganic nitrogen application (mean = 132.74 kg N/ha) wasassociated with biological yield (327 observations, 12 provinces; p > 0.1), a pattern consistentwith, though not sufficient on its own to confirm, nitrogen saturation. Mean CH4 emissionintensity, after correcting a unit inconsistency in the underlying dataset, is 32.48 kg CH4/tongrain (SD = 7.19; 355 observations). Nitrogen application was positively associated with CH4intensity in the Coastal acid-sulfate sub-region (β = 0.022 kg CH4/ton per kg N/ha, p = 0.008);the additional Inland differential was not statistically distinguishable from zero (p = 0.244).Quadratic temperature terms indicated turning points of 28.15 °C (yield equation; 95% CI27.76–28.53) and 28.11°C (CH4 equation; 95% CI 27.75–28.47), with overlapping confidenceintervals. These findings offered a cautious, delta-scale empirical reference for nitrogen andthermal-risk management discussions in comparable Southeast Asian lowland paddy systems.
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