Testing Conventional and Ex Ante Purchasing Power Parity: The Case of Three CIS Currencies
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Creator 1. Razzaque H.Bhatti
2. M.Mujibul Haque
Title Testing Conventional and Ex Ante Purchasing Power Parity: The Case of Three CIS Currencies
Publisher Asian Forum on Business Education (AFBE)
Publication Year 2556
Journal Title AFBE Journal
Journal Vol. 6
Journal No. 1
Page no. 63
Keyword Ex ante PPP,Exchange rate,International financial markets
ISSN 2071-7873
Abstract This paper tests whether conventional or ex ante purchasing power parity holds for the exchange rates of the three CIS currencies Kazakh tenge, Kyrgyz som and Russian Ruble vis-เ-vis the US dollar and for the exchange rates of Kazakh tenge and Kyrgyz som vis-เ-vis the Russian Ruble over the period 1995m1-2010m6. Results obtained by employing two residual-based cointegration tests of Engle and Granger (1987) and Phillips and Ouliaris (1990) and coefficient restrictions tests based on the West (1988) corrected t-statistic lend strong support to ex ante PPP against conventional one. These results suggest that the real exchange rate for the underlying currency combinations is not stationary; rather it follows a random walk. This also implies that PPP does not hold for the three CIS currencies even in the long run.
Asian Forum on Business Education

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